Talk of seasonal change brings to mind a dream, I think it was a dream, possibly an experience from my late high school years. It must have been a late August night, I am driving with friends in the car, I am pretty sure down the Don Valley Parkway under the bright yellow sodium lights, with the music on loud and the windows and roof open, enjoying that bitter sweet last gasp of warmth and freedom that is a teenagers life in the summer. The freedom of being able to drive too fast with the wind in my face, is an experience I have tried to repeat a couple times in the years since. But I want to come back to this notion of the bitter sweet pleasures that must come to an end.
We live in a dream world I’m afraid. We need to come to terms with the fact that the amount of energy in a Liter of gasoline is about 32MJ/L or about 150 kBTU/Gallon (US). Put another way, there are about 7 million calories of potential chemical energy in a Liter of gas, now 7 million calories would get me nearly 300 round trips to Rochester NY by bicycle (based on my 12 Kilocalorie effort last time), 7 million calories can also be used to drive the 2001 Audi sedan that Lesley owns perhaps 8 to 10 kilometers in Toronto.
Can I be more blunt than the mathematics here? The fact is driving hugely, phenomenally, unbelievably, wasteful. We as a society need to recognize a few facts about the way we live:
- Our lifestyle is unsustainable
- Our lifestyle provokes animosity from the sort of people who would commit acts of terror against us.
- Our lifestyle is destroying our very habitat.
With respect to the first point, peak oil is not something I think I need to rehash. It is fact, there is only so much ground beneath us, and only so much of that ground contains oil. It stands to reason, as we tap the oil, there will be less and as the amount of oil runs out, getting more will become harder and harder. The total global production of oil is about 83 million barrels a day, yet every year the amount of oil existing wells produce drops by about 4 million barrels a day. Just to maintain existing oil production figures, every single year 4 million net new barrels a day of production must come on stream around the world. So the recently discovered elephant field in the Gulf of Mexico, which is under thousands of feet of water and earth and contains 15 billion barrels of oil? If it could produce 4 million barrels a day, or 46 barrels a second, it would still only keep our production flat lined for a whole ten years before running dry. Of course we need production to increase. Little wonder oil was selling for $146 a barrel prior to the recession and is now nearly $80 despite the massive contraction in demand for oil.
With respect to the second point, consider by the time your typical American (or Canadian) child turns four years old they have consumed as much energy as your average Somali will consume in their lifetime. A Somali village of 40 needs as much energy as I do! We dump our garbage off their shores because they cannot police their own waters, their fishermen in desperate need for food or money to sustain the family resort to piracy. It is now believed that Osama Bin Laden got his start with support to the Somali war lords, little wonder, they probably are as disgusted by our own decadence as we are.
In Vice President (President Elect) Al Gore’s presentation that was made into the movie An Inconvenient Truth, he shows a cartoon where there is a balance, the decision is bars of gold or the planet Earth. The former next president points out that gold isn’t really worth all that much if the planet we live on is dead.
We have been living in a dream, energy so easy to get, all you really need to do is punch a hole in the ground, wait for the oil to burst out and, if you name is Rockefeller collect your billions. But as I have tried to show, this way of living, with machines that use far too much energy, and with lifestyles that are far too wasteful, is coming to an end. I fear the next act for the human race will be to learn how to make do with a lot less just as we did one hundred years ago.